This post is to talk about the issue of Electability. This is a topic that is thrown around a lot with this current election. The reason it seems more of an emphasis is probably due to the 2 candidates that are coming from outside the establishment. They have not allowed the standard politics to influence their campaign. I am sure you can guess who those individuals are. Trump and Sanders. I have made it known my opinions on who I support. There was a nagging issue within myself though about this idea of Electability. Hannah and I even had a discussion months ago about this problem. Could he actually convince other people to vote for him? Well if polls mean anything, then we have an answer. I have some the results of the different matchups between both Bernie Sanders and Hilary Clinton against all the GOP candidates.
Some of the scariest notes from these results is the fact currently, Hilary is losing, or well within the margin of error to ALL GOP candidates. That means if there is any validity to these respectable polls, then having Hilary as the Democratic nominee will almost certainly lose the White House to the Republicans. Also shockingly is that Bernie is not only never losing in the polls, but also not even close to margin of error. The closest a GOP candidate gets is Kasich, which the poll has Bernie beating by 4%. With these results I hope it becomes even more of a possibility that Bernie Sanders can be the nominee, but almost feel like it has to be or we may have a super conservative controlling the most powerful position in the world.
Why are these numbers showing so drastically against Hilary? That is an interesting question. What seems to be a driving force is another poll showing the Favorability of the 2 candidates. Below is the most recent poll on this topic. It shows a 51% favorability for Bernie Sanders, which is outrageously high considering all the other candidates don’t even hit 40%. Clinton does come in second overall squeaking past Trump and has a mark of 37%. That is the difference between the candidates. This, and most elections is decided by the independents. History says that people vote for who they feel they can trust. This favorability poll, and past trust polls show people do not like Clinton as a whole. Democrats love her, but in the eyes of the public she is not supported. This should be a concern. Let’s not forget that there is an investigation on her. Now I am with most democrats saying the investigation is crazy and most likely will not ever lead to anything. Though what if it does? If the DNC choses Hilary over Bernie and a scandal breaks and she is charged with something; then it is ALL OVER. The republicans will win in a land slide and there is nothing that will stop it.
Why are these numbers showing so drastically against Hilary? That is an interesting question. What seems to be a driving force is another poll showing the Favorability of the 2 candidates. Below is the most recent poll on this topic. It shows a 51% favorability for Bernie Sanders, which is outrageously high considering all the other candidates don’t even hit 40%. Clinton does come in second overall squeaking past Trump and has a mark of 37%. That is the difference between the candidates. This, and most elections is decided by the independents. History says that people vote for who they feel they can trust. This favorability poll, and past trust polls show people do not like Clinton as a whole. Democrats love her, but in the eyes of the public she is not supported. This should be a concern. Let’s not forget that there is an investigation on her. Now I am with most democrats saying the investigation is crazy and most likely will not ever lead to anything. Though what if it does? If the DNC choses Hilary over Bernie and a scandal breaks and she is charged with something; then it is ALL OVER. The republicans will win in a land slide and there is nothing that will stop it.
Now the question becomes, is there really a chance that the DNC will be forced to send Bernie Sanders as the nominee? Well as below shows. YES, there is a good possibility of it happening. Obviously this is still a long and tough road ahead. The big date though may actually be March 15th. That is a day that has some large states with a lot of delegates. Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio will have a total of 792 delegates to assign. This is a MAJOR day for Bernie Sanders. If he can at least stay even or move ahead on this day, then he has a really good chance. This whole election has been Hilary’s to lose. All the momentum has been in Bernie’s favor. Every states she has had a lead in, he has started closing the gaps. Nevada will be decided tomorrow Saturday Feb 20th. She at once had a 30+ point lead. She now only leads by 1%. Nationally Bernie shows only 2% behind Hilary. He has shown great increases with the more exposure he gets. Like Hilary or Bernie aside and these numbers start to say the real choice may need to be Bernie Sanders. This is going to be a very crazy ride.